Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Telmo		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	4.33	Watch
	2	2.95	3.75
	1.98	3	3.95
	2.17	2.94	3.77
	2.24	2.93	3.55	Watch
	1.94	3.09	4.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.04)	3 ↓ (3.03)	3.95 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
45.5%

Draw
30.9%

Central Norte
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

30.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

San Telmo - Central Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 11. Britez E. 9. Cocimano S. 19. Curcio N. 4. Dell Aquila G. 18. Miranda L. 6. Morro N. 13. Ojeda L. 2. Pollacchi L. 3. Sosa R. 20. Zurbriggen J.	1. Vazquez E. (G) 8. Banega T. 10. Berrondo A. 6. Castilla G. 11. Ferreyra L. 2. Gonzalez C. 5. Mancuso G. 7. Moravec M. 4. Rinaudo S. 3. Sanz P. 9. Tisera F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Morro N. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Cocimano S. ⚽, Zurbriggen J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Ojeda L. ⚽,
57', Miranda L. ↓, Iritier J. ↑,
58', Curcio N. ↓, Larthirigoyen I. ↑,
63', Acosta R. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
63', Moravec M. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Ferreyra L. ⚽,
70', Tisera F. 🟨,
71', Pollacchi L. 🟨,
71', Ferreyra L. 🟨,
81', Zurbriggen J. ↓, Tello F. ↑,
84', Mancuso G. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
84', Gonzalez C. ↓, Berra T. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Ojeda L. ⚽,
90+1', Ferreyra L. ↓, Chavarria C. ↑,
90+4', Dell Aquila G. ↓, Formichelli S. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 and 14)

San Telmo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Central Norte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Central Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

San Telmo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.09.25	Almirante Brown - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	San Telmo - Chaco For Ever	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Mitre - San Telmo	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	San Telmo - Colón	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Temperley - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWT
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.09.25	Central Norte - Agropecuario Argentino	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
18.08.25	Nueva Chicago - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.25	Central Norte - San Telmo	1:2

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