Match Info

Primera C - Round 25

Date: 10 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Avenida Croacia y Juan Cruz Va (Buenos Aires)


	Deportivo Muñiz		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	2.7	2.05
	3.1	3.15	2.1	Watch
	5.03	2.45	2
	4.26	2.76	2.04	Watch
	4.38	2.86	2.03	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.1)	2.85 ↓ (3.05)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Muñiz
23.3%

Draw
32.2%

Ituzaingó
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

28.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Muñiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Muñiz's form might have worsened.

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Muñiz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Muñiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Deportivo Muñiz - Ituzaingó Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituzaingó (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', Gonzalez H. 🟥,
82', 0 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽,
86', Sotelo A. A. U. 🟥,
90+2', 0 - 2, Santiago N. ⚽,
90+4', Ramirez L. 🟥,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).

Recent performances by Deportivo Muñiz have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ituzaingó is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ituzaingó will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Muñiz won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Muñiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Ituzaingó - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Muñiz
Argentinian Primera C
02.09.25	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Muñiz	1:0 ✺
26.08.25	Deportivo Muñiz - Atlético Claypole	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	Deportivo Muñiz - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Deportivo Muñiz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWTTW
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
29.08.25	Ituzaingó - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ituzaingó - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Leandro N. Alem - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Ituzaingó - Mercedes	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
24.05.25	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Muñiz	0:0
11.09.24	Deportivo Muñiz - Ituzaingó	0:0
10.04.24	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Muñiz	0:1
Argentinian Primera D
30.03.17	Deportivo Muñiz - Ituzaingó	2:0
15.03.16	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Muñiz	2:3

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