Match Info

Primera C - Round 23

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gildo Ghersinich (Buenos Aires)


	El Porvenir		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.88	2.02	Watch
	3.91	2.75	2.06
	3.84	2.88	2.09	Watch
	3.95	2.98	2.08
	3.25	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.35)	2.9 ↓ (2.94)	2.08 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
24.5%

Draw
31.5%

Ituzaingó
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

30.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

30.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-1%)

El Porvenir - Ituzaingó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Centurion G. A. ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, Rios F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ituzaingó is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ituzaingó - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
18.08.25	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	El Porvenir - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
05.08.25	Deportivo Muñiz - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
27.07.25	El Porvenir - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - El Porvenir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.9 WTTTW
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera C
15.08.25	Ituzaingó - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Leandro N. Alem - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Ituzaingó - Mercedes	3:2 ✺
27.07.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
18.07.25	Ituzaingó - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
10.05.25	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	2:1
24.08.24	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	0:0
27.03.24	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	1:4
19.09.21	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	2:1
03.05.21	El Porvenir - Ituzaingó	1:0
13.10.19	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	1:0
18.04.19	Ituzaingó - El Porvenir	0:1

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