Match Info

Liga Women - Round 7

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Departamental Libertad (Pasto)


	Deportivo Pasto		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.85	1.52
	5.29	3.92	1.54
	5.24	3.96	1.54	Watch
	5	3.5	1.53
	5.66	3.7	1.58
	4.2	3.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.2)	3.67 ↑ (3)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Pasto
17.8%

Draw
24.5%

Millonarios
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

29.2%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

28%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Idarraga V. (G) 21. De la Hoz D. 29. Angel S. 2. Motta A. 4. Marin S. 22. Olarte A. 13. Erazo V. 11. Romero K. (C) 10. Garzon S. 7. Preciado M. 9. Paez Zea K. S.	12. Gamboa D. (G) 13. Leal M. 23. Vera S. 2. Viafara F. 25. Olaya R. 11. Salazar L. (C) 15. Calvo L. 27. Valencia K. 9. Sanchez I. 16. Gomez L. 79. Restrepo K.
Substitutes
31. Cardozo L. (G) 8. Chaves D. 33. Garcia L. 23. Pachito A. 14. Perlaza X. 25. Pulgarin L. 27. Quinones C.	3. Arboleda L. 4. Bolano L. 14. Carabali E. 10. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 7. Celis D. 99. Garrido E. 22. Rodriguez J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Viafara F. ⚽,
12', 🟨,
26', Angel S. 🟨,
40', Calvo L. 🟨,
44', Viafara F. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Calvo L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Angel S. ↓, Quinones C. ↑,
59', Salazar L. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
65', Restrepo K. ↓, Garrido E. ↑,
68', Erazo V. ↓, Chaves D. ↑,
68', Romero K. ↓, Perlaza X. ↑,
68', De la Hoz D. ↓, Pulgarin L. ↑,
71', Calvo L. ↓, Bolano L. ↑,
71', Leal M. ↓, Castaneda Vanegas A. J. ↑,
76', Marin S. ↓, Pachito A. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Paez Zea K. S. ⚽, Garzon S. (A),
81', Garrido E. 🟨,
83', Gamboa D. 🟨,
89', Vera S. 🟨,
90+1', Bolano L. 🟨,
90+4', Valencia K. ↓, Arboleda L. ↑,
90+5', Pachito A. 🟨,
90+6', Gomez L. ↓, Celis D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

Deportivo Pasto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Millonarios is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Millonarios is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Pasto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Pasto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Pasto Women
Colombian Liga Women
31.03.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
18.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	3:1 ✺
09.03.26	Real Santander - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Palmira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTLTL
- Millonarios Women
Colombian Liga Women
30.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	6:0 ✺
22.03.26	Inter Palmira - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Millonarios - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
10.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Inter Bogotá - Millonarios	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
25.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios	1:1
06.06.24	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	2:0
18.02.23	Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto	1:1

Deportivo Pasto - Millonarios: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide