The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inter Palmira 19.3%
Draw 28.4%
Millonarios 52.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.1%
29.9%
49%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.1%
30%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Inter Palmira - Millonarios Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (G) 2. Vasquez S. 6. Caro J. 16. Montano L. 15. Caicedo A. 17. Camayo V. 7. Urrutia K. 18. Castillo M. 8. Montano K. 11. Perez L. 19. Zarabia C.
22. Rodriguez J. (G) 13. Leal M. 23. Vera S. 14. Carabali E. 17. Tamayo L. 10. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 11. Salazar L. 27. Valencia K. 79. Restrepo K. 16. Gomez L. 7. Celis D.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo S. 14. Castro A. 13. Correa K. 5. Guzman D. 20. Pavas A. 21. Pavi V. 26. Ruiz D. 30. Santamaria L. 10. Vidal I.
26. Benavides M. 4. Bolano L. 12. Gamboa D. (G) 99. Garrido E. 6. Herrera M. 25. Olaya R. 9. Sanchez I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Montano K. ⚽, Caicedo A. (A),
16', Valencia K. 🟨,
31', Valencia K. ↓, Bolano L. ↑,
36', Vasquez S. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Montano L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vera S. ↓, Benavides M. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Restrepo K. ⚽, Benavides M. (A),
64', Carabali E. 🟨,
66', Leal M. ↓, Garrido E. ↑,
70', Urrutia K. ↓, Guzman D. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Restrepo K. ⚽, Benavides M. (A),
78', Zarabia C. ↓, Vidal I. ↑,
78', Montano K. ↓, Caicedo S. ↑,
82', Perez L. 🟨,
82', Restrepo K. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 0.
Recent performances by Inter Palmira have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Millonarios is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Inter Palmira won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).