Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Riestra 2		San Lorenzo 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.9
	4	3.45	1.78	Watch
	3.99	3.68	1.82
	4.07	3.64	1.76	Watch
	4.58	3.38	1.71
	4	3.45	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (2.95)	3.45 ↑ (3.05)	1.79 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra 2
22.6%

Draw
26.5%

San Lorenzo 2
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.2%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

29.7%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Riestra 2's form might have worsened.

San Lorenzo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Lorenzo 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Riestra 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Lorenzo 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Riestra 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Deportivo Riestra 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Lorenzo 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Lorenzo 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra 2 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.05.25	Instituto 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:0 ✺
30.04.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
22.04.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:0 ✺
15.04.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - River Plate 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLTL
- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.05.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	4:1 ✺
30.04.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:2 ✺
09.04.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Independiente 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
01.10.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0
25.04.24	San Lorenzo 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:1

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