Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Riestra 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.18	Watch
	3.13	3.21	2.27
	8.44	1.43	3.82	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.44)	2.71 ↓ (3.06)	2.61 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra 2
23.1%

Draw
37.7%

Vélez Sársfield 2
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

29.7%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

29%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra 2 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Deportivo Riestra 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Deportivo Riestra 2 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vélez 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportivo Riestra 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vélez 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield 2 - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.87%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.09.25	River Plate 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:1 ✺
26.08.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	1:0 ✺
22.08.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	1:1 ✺
10.09.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:4 ✺
03.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	0:0 ✺
28.08.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Lanús 2	0:1 ✺
20.08.25	Godoy Cruz 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	3:0
17.09.24	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1
10.04.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	2:0

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