Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play, TNT Sports Premium


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Tigre 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.40	7.50
	1.43	3.95	6.00
	1.36	4.62	8.59
	1.34	4.6	8.2	Watch
	1.33	4.00	8.00
	1.40	4.63	7.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.59)	4.37 ↑ (3.78)	7.58 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
67%

Draw
20.9%

Tigre 2
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.4%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.2%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.

Tigre 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tigre 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).

Vélez 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3.

Vélez 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tigre 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vélez 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vélez 2 is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.06.26	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
27.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	2:3 ✺
21.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Racing Club 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW
- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.06.26	Tigre 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Racing Club 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Tigre 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
03.09.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	0:0
12.06.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:1
20.02.25	Tigre 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0
06.09.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	5:0
02.04.24	Tigre 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:4
20.09.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	1:0
19.06.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:0

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