Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros (Rincon de Los Sauces)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Rincón		Huracán Las Heras

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.20
	2.02	2.85	3.70
	2.28	2.86	3.12
	2.35	2.96	3.28	Watch
	2.20	2.80	3.05
	2.18	2.81	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.81)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)	3.31 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Rincón
40.8%

Draw
31.8%

Huracán Las Heras
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.5%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

32%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Rincón's form might have worsened.

Huracán Las Heras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huracán Las Heras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Rincón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Las Heras than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huracán Las Heras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Rincón - Huracán Las Heras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Aguero F. (G)
	3. Aguilar J.
	6. Arciero R.
	11. Bonet J.
	2. Coceres G.
	7. Cortes F.
	4. Dieli M.
	9. Lucero J.
	8. Romero F.
	5. Sandoval N.
Substitutes
	13. Alessandrini A.
	16. Algozino L.
	14. Alvacete J.
	19. Araujo A. A.
	18. Leiva E.
	12. Pacheco R. (G)
	17. Sosa M.
	20. Toledo A.
	15. Ulloa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Toledo A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Recent form of Rincón has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Huracán Las Heras has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Huracán Las Heras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rincón is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rincón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Deportivo Rincón - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Cipolletti - Deportivo Rincón	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Deportivo Rincón - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Argentino Monte Maíz - Deportivo Rincón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Huracán Las Heras
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.07.26	Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Huracán Las Heras	3:1 ✺
14.06.26	Huracán Las Heras - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Cipolletti - Huracán Las Heras	3:0 ✺
31.05.26	Huracán Las Heras - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.05.26	Huracán Las Heras - Deportivo Rincón	1:1
08.09.24	Huracán Las Heras - Deportivo Rincón	1:0

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