Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio General Jose de San Martin (San Martin)


	San Martín de Mendoza		Deportivo Rincón

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.10	4.80
	1.89	2.95	4.00
	1.67	3.11	5.26
	1.7	3.19	5.42	Watch
	1.65	3.05	5.20
	1.69	3.13	5.26
	2.02	2.89	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2)	3.06 ↑ (2.85)	4.81 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Mendoza
51.6%

Draw
29.6%

Deportivo Rincón
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

31.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

31.4%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Martín de Mendoza's performance.

Deportivo Rincón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Martín de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Rincón than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez L. G. (G) 10. Arce D. 8. Leon J. 6. Maidana M. (C) 11. Mazzolo J. 4. Mercado V. 5. Paz I. 9. Rivarola F. 7. Saucedo F. 2. Velazquez P. 3. Zapata M.	1. Sanchez A. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 10. Avila C. 5. Carrasco D. 9. Dominguez M. 6. Esteves C. 7. Frutos S. 2. Herrera R. 11. Miguel F. 3. Punet L. 8. Valvuena C.
Substitutes
17. Almeida J. 18. Batistella E. 14. Bernabe N. 15. Caro V. 20. Gonzalez D. 19. Herensperger R. 13. Mas L. 12. Rosa N. (G) 16. Zanon J.	16. Achetoni J. I. 14. Albertinazzi J. 12. Criado J. (G) 20. Estigarribia C. 18. Montes R. 13. Paez A. 15. Portino G. 19. Rossi J. 17. Rueda H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
72', 🟨,
78', 🟨,

Preview

SM de Mendoza is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rincón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, SM de Mendoza has had a series of home games.

SM de Mendoza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SM de Mendoza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, SM de Mendoza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Sol de Mayo	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Costa Brava	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	FADEP - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
05.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTTW
- Deportivo Rincón
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Deportivo Rincón - Círculo Deportivo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Sol de Mayo - Deportivo Rincón	2:4 ✺
25.07.26	Costa Brava - Deportivo Rincón	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Deportivo Rincón - Huracán Las Heras	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	San Martín de Mendoza - Deportivo Rincón	1:0
03.05.26	Deportivo Rincón - San Martín de Mendoza	0:0
15.09.24	Deportivo Rincón - San Martín de Mendoza	2:0

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