Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportivo San Pedro		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.95	2.60
	2.65	3.10	2.38
	2.87	3.05	2.71
	2.81	2.75	2.86	Watch
	2.80	2.75	2.65
	2.70	3.11	2.65
	2.60	2.85	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.88)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	2.64 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo San Pedro
33.9%

Draw
31.2%

Antigua GFC
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.7%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo San Pedro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Antigua GFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antigua GFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo San Pedro than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antigua GFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo San Pedro - Antigua GFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cruz V. (G) 99. Aguila G. 2. Alvarez D. . Barrientos A. 8. Chacon J. 9. Colon S. 30. Folleco R. . Garcia E. 15. Gomez R. 10. Macal E. . Matos Y.	72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 12. Ardon J. 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 20. Colindres J. 5. Garcia A. 16. Gonzalez A. 15. Maziero A. 10. Mora I. 11. Moreno J. 27. Palencia D.
Substitutes
7. Ceballos M. 5. de Leon B. 22. Fuentes E. 4. Gaitan M. . Martinez L. . Mendez R. (G) 48. Moran Y. A. 77. Navas J. 19. Salguero O.	19. Espinoza J. 35. Fernandez A. (G) 26. Fernandez D. 22. Franco J. 23. Galvez J. 34. Lopez K. J. 21. Robinson A. 6. Rosales J. 24. Zuniga S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Matos Y. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Colon S. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Maziero A. ⚽,
32', Matos Y. ↓, Moran Y. A. ↑,
33', Garcia A. 🟨,
45+5', Macal E. 🟨,
45+9', 3 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Chacon J. ↓, de Leon B. ↑,
46', Colindres J. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
47', 4 - 1, Garcia E. ⚽,
59', 4 - 2, Fernandez D. ⚽,
66', Moreno J. 🟥,
70', Garcia A. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
70', Aguila G. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
72', Ardon J. 🟨,
73', Garcia E. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
79', 4 - 3, Ardon J. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
84', Gomez R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Deportivo San Pedro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Antigua	11	7	0	4	21:17	4	21
7	Deportivo San Pedro	12	5	3	4	14:12	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo San Pedro
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Malacateco - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Suchitepéquez	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo San Pedro	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLW
- Antigua GFC
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Herediano - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Antigua GFC - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Antigua GFC - CD Marathón	0:3 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.08.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW

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