Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Aurora		Antigua GFC

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.25	2.25
	3.22	3.4	2.21
	2.78	3.34	2.44	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.15
	2.93	3.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	3.36 ↑ (2.89)	2.26 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
31.6%

Draw
27.5%

Antigua GFC
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

31.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

31.8%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Aurora - Antigua GFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez L. (G) 2. Cardona L. 25. Diaz A. 6. Garcia A. 11. Ibarguen E. 10. Lovato N. 52. Mingorance P. 4. Monterroso C. 30. Soriano B. 3. Soriano J. 28. Ticuru J.	1. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 77. Camargo E. 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 26. Fernandez D. 28. Fernandez E. 15. Maziero A. 33. Prillwitz H. 6. Rosales J. 18. Santis O.
Substitutes
23. Alvarez J. 21. Arevalo J. 17. Bajan D. 64. Gonzalez L. 53. Hernandez Lainfiesta M. S. 59. Morales Aguilar A. 7. Motta P. 1. Navas D. (G) 31. Urias V.	7. Castaneda B. 30. de L. B. 14. Garzaro S. 2. Grijalva K. 20. Herrera A. 72. Loarca A. 99. Macareno K. 22. Osorio J. 70. Sican E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ardon J. 🟨,
41', Camargo E. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mingorance P. ↓, Morales Aguilar A. ↑,
56', Diaz A. 🟨,
61', Maziero A. ↓, Macareno K. ↑,
61', Ibarguen E. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
65', Monterroso C. 🟨,
73', Fernandez D. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
73', Santis O. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
74', 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Herrera A. ⚽,
80', Cardona L. ↓, Arevalo J. ↑,
80', Monterroso C. ↓, Motta P. ↑,
86', Ticuru J. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Castaneda B. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Aurora has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Antigua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Antigua	11	7	0	4	21:17	4	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.26	Cobán Imperial - Aurora	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Malacateco - Aurora	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Municipal - Aurora	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTLL
- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.26	Antigua GFC - Mictlán	8:2 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Antigua GFC - Marquense	1:0 ✺
19.03.26	Comunicaciones - Antigua GFC	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.02.26	Antigua GFC - Aurora	2:0
17.12.25	Antigua GFC - Aurora	4:2
14.12.25	Aurora - Antigua GFC	0:1
25.10.25	Antigua GFC - Aurora	1:2
16.08.25	Aurora - Antigua GFC	3:2

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