Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Deportivo Sanarate		Municipal

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.15	2.35
	2.6	3.05	2.5
	2.99	3.19	2.49
	2.88	2.9	2.4
	2.8	3.28	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.63)	3.11 ↓ (3.2)	2.42 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Sanarate
32.9%

Draw
29.3%

Municipal
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

20.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Sanarate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Sanarate than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Sanarate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Sanarate - Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 6).

Recent matches Sanarate is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Municipal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sanarate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sanarate won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 10-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Sanarate won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Sanarate
Guatemala Liga Nacional
31.03.21	Deportivo Sacachispas - Deportivo Sanarate	2:1 ✺
14.03.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:2 ✺
10.03.21	Deportivo Sanarate - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Sanarate	2:0 ✺
03.03.21	Municipal - Deportivo Sanarate	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
01.04.21	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Municipal - Cobán Imperial	2:0 ✺
10.03.21	Municipal - Deportivo Sacachispas	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal	1:2 ✺
03.03.21	Municipal - Deportivo Sanarate	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
03.03.21	Municipal - Deportivo Sanarate	3:1
18.10.20	Deportivo Sanarate - Municipal	0:1
12.09.20	Municipal - Deportivo Sanarate	5:0
05.02.20	Deportivo Sanarate - Municipal	0:0
09.11.19	Municipal - Deportivo Sanarate	3:0
01.09.19	Deportivo Sanarate - Municipal	0:1
27.04.19	Municipal - Deportivo Sanarate	4:1

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