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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Achuapa 17.5%
Draw 25%
Municipal 57.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.7%
28.1%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.1%
27.3%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Deportivo Achuapa - Municipal Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Achuapa (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Achuapa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 88. Carabali Y. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 8. de Leon I. 91. Matta A. 7. Mejia C. 14. Nunez K. 20. Sanchez E. 66. Santos C. 2. Suazo D. 9. Williams J.
1. Linares B. (G) 21. Baltazar Y. 31. Calderon C. 52. David A. 18. Franco J. 19. Hernandez C. 9. Martinez J. 7. Munoz R. 43. Perez Y. Y. 4. Samayoa N. 14. Torres D.
Substitutes
36. Aquino D. 33. Castillo K. 30. Corado J. 4. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. . Martir A. . Ramos D. J. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 25. Tiul K.
22. Aldana D. (G) 10. Altan P. 20. Archila C. 26. Barrientos R. 24. Cabeza A. 32. Lopez E. 5. Matos Y. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Baltazar Y. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
37', Santos C. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Munoz R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Munoz R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
48', Mendez J. 🟨,
58', Calderon C. 🟨,
63', Matta A. ↓, Martir A. ↑,
63', Williams J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
65', Hernandez C. ↓, Matos Y. ↑,
67', de Leon I. ↓, Macal E. ↑,
70', 🟨,
70', David A. 🟨,
70', David A. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
70', Martinez J. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
80', Nunez K. ↓, Castillo K. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Cabeza A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 2, Mejia C. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 0.
Achuapa is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Municipal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Achuapa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Municipal is considered a favorite.
We predict that Municipal will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
Watch
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Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 
Corado Ruano R. E. 
Suazo D. 
Williams J. 
Hernandez C. 
Perez Y. Y. 
Torres D. 
Aquino D. 
Cabeza A. 
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