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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Santaní 52.5%
Draw 25.3%
Encarnación 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
23.7%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
22.8%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Santaní's form might have worsened.
Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Encarnación's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Santaní, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Encarnación, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Santaní - Encarnación Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15).
Deportivo Santaní is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Encarnación has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportivo Santaní may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Deportivo Santaní is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Deportivo Santaní will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Santaní won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Santaní won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).