Match Info

Date: 1 March 2020, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.05	3.15	2.85
	1.97	3.07	3.38
	2.08	3.23	3.74
	2.12	3.3	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.18 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
43.6%

Draw
28.2%

CD Guadalajara
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

20.4%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Guadalajara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Toledo - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
29.02.20	Deportivo Toledo - Coritiba	1:1 ✺
22.02.20	FC Cascavel - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
16.02.20	Deportivo Toledo - Manchego	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
15.02.20	Athletico Paranaense - Deportivo Toledo	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.02.20	Deportivo Toledo - Náutico Capibaribe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTTLL
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
23.02.20	CD Guadalajara - La Solana	0:0 ✺
09.02.20	CD Guadalajara - Socuéllamos	1:2 ✺
02.02.20	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
26.01.20	CD Guadalajara - Albacete B	3:1 ✺
12.01.20	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.10.19	CD Guadalajara - Deportivo Toledo	0:0
07.04.19	Deportivo Toledo - CD Guadalajara	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.05.16	Deportivo Toledo - CD Guadalajara	1:1
03.01.16	CD Guadalajara - Deportivo Toledo	1:1
01.03.15	Deportivo Toledo - CD Guadalajara	1:1
12.10.14	CD Guadalajara - Deportivo Toledo	0:1

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