Match Info

Date: 8 May 2022, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		Hércules

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.2	1.6
	6	3.1	1.7
	4.6	3.1	1.75
	5.7	3.18	1.74
	5	3.45	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (3.79)	3.21 ↑ (2.86)	1.7 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
17%

Draw
28.7%

Hércules
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

32%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

33.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Toledo's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Toledo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Toledo - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Toledo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hércules is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hércules will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Toledo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Toledo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.05.22	Eldense - Deportivo Toledo	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	Deportivo Toledo - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	El Ejido - Deportivo Toledo	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Deportivo Toledo - Levante B	2:2 ✺
03.04.22	Pulpileño - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWTT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.05.22	Hércules - Mancha Real	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	Águilas - Hércules	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Hércules - Melilla	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Real Murcia - Hércules	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Hércules - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.12.21	Hércules - Deportivo Toledo	1:0
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
11.06.16	Hércules - Deportivo Toledo	2:2
05.06.16	Deportivo Toledo - Hércules	0:1

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