Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday


	Deportivo Toledo		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	1.95
	4.05	3.05	2
	3.55	3.05	2
	3.71	3.16	2.09
	3.72	3.06	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.53)	3.06 ↑ (2.77)	2.02 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
24.6%

Draw
29.9%

La Nucía
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

32.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

32.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-4%)

Deportivo Toledo - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Toledo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

La Nucía is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

La Nucía will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Toledo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.04.22	El Ejido - Deportivo Toledo	1:2 ✺
10.04.22	Deportivo Toledo - Levante B	2:2 ✺
03.04.22	Pulpileño - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	Deportivo Toledo - Socuéllamos	0:0 ✺
20.03.22	Alzira - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTTTT
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.04.22	La Nucía - Mancha Real	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Águilas - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	La Nucía - Melilla	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Real Murcia - La Nucía	1:2 ✺
20.03.22	La Nucía - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.12.21	La Nucía - Deportivo Toledo	2:0

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