Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 27

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	La Nucía		Hércules

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.55
	5.32	3.79	1.55
	5.32	3.79	1.53
	6.22	3.72	1.54
	5.2	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (3.99)	3.66 ↑ (3.2)	1.55 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Nucía
16.6%

Draw
24.8%

Hércules
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

28.3%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

27.2%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Nucía's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Nucía, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

La Nucía - Hércules Predictions

Users Predictions: Hércules will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 3.

La Nucía has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hércules is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hércules to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 9 head-to-head matches La Nucía won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams La Nucía won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF La Nucía
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.03.24	CE Europa - La Nucía	4:2 ✺
03.03.24	La Nucía - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Penya Independent - La Nucía	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	La Nucía - Andratx	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	Sant Andreu - La Nucía	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
10.03.24	Hércules - Valencia B	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Hércules - CE Europa	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Hércules	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Hércules - Penya Independent	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Andratx - Hércules	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
05.11.23	Hércules - La Nucía	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Hércules - La Nucía	2:4 ET
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.03.22	La Nucía - Hércules	1:0
31.10.21	Hércules - La Nucía	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.03.21	La Nucía - Hércules	2:1
10.01.21	Hércules - La Nucía	3:1
24.11.19	La Nucía - Hércules	3:0

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