Match Info

Copa Federacion - Semi-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Deportivo Toledo		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	1.95
	3.84	2.97	1.95
	1.68	3.47	5.09	Watch
	3.8	3.13	1.94
	3.55	3.05	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.75)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.59 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Toledo
30%

Draw
31.8%

Orihuela
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

29.6%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

28.8%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Toledo's performance.

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orihuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orihuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportivo Toledo - Orihuela Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orihuela will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Sotos J. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Montesinos G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Pipa ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Ghabbour N. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
91', 2 - 3, Solsona J. ⚽,
110', 2 - 4, Solsona J. ⚽,
118', Barreto S. (Pen),

Preview

Toledo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Orihuela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toledo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Orihuela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.10.25	Deportivo Toledo - Huracán Balazote	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Guadalajara B - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Deportivo Toledo	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
27.09.25	Deportivo Toledo - Marchamalo	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Azuqueca - Deportivo Toledo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWWT
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Navalcarnero - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Orihuela - Tenerife B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Minera - Orihuela	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Socuéllamos - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Orihuela - Intercity	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWWL

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