Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Navalcarnero		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3	3.75
	2	2.99	3.98
	2.08	3.14	3.56	Watch
	2.04	3.04	3.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.09)	3.05 ↓ (3.21)	3.76 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
45.8%

Draw
29.9%

Orihuela
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.3%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Navalcarnero aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Navalcarnero - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Navalcarnero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Navalcarnero could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Navalcarnero - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.51%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.10.25	Elche Ilicitano - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Navalcarnero - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Navalcarnero - Rayo Vallecano B	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Getafe B - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLWL
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Orihuela - Tenerife B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Minera - Orihuela	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.09.25	Socuéllamos - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Orihuela - Intercity	0:4 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Orihuela - Huétor Tájar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWLW

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