Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Deportivo Toledo		Pulpileño

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Deportivo Toledo
40.6%

Draw
30.1%

Pulpileño
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

21.1%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Toledo's performance.

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pulpileño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Toledo than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Toledo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+19.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pulpileño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Toledo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pulpileño is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toledo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.11.21	Socuéllamos - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Deportivo Toledo - Alzira	1:2 ✺
24.10.21	Racing Cartagena MM - Deportivo Toledo	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Deportivo Toledo - Intercity	0:1 ✺
10.10.21	Granada B - Deportivo Toledo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLLT
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.11.21	Pulpileño - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Águilas - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Pulpileño - Melilla	1:3 ✺
17.10.21	Real Murcia - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Pulpileño - Hércules	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLTL

Deportivo Toledo - Pulpileño