Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 19

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Águilas		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	7.25
	1.35	4	6.1
	1.38	3.95	6.6
	1.33	3.96	6.72
	1.38	4.3	7.8
	1.4	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)	4.05 ↑ (3.98)	6.91 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
65%

Draw
22%

Pulpileño
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.4%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

21%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pulpileño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pulpileño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas - Pulpileño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Águilas won 1.

Águilas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pulpileño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Águilas is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Águilas to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Águilas won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Águilas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.01.23	El Palmar - Águilas	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Águilas - Alcantarilla	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Bullense - Águilas	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Águilas - Racing Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.01.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	0:5 ✺
15.01.23	Unión Molinense - Pulpileño	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Pulpileño - Cieza	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	El Palmar - Pulpileño	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Pulpileño - Alcantarilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
02.10.22	Pulpileño - Águilas	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.03.22	Pulpileño - Águilas	2:2
31.10.21	Águilas - Pulpileño	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.03.21	Águilas - Pulpileño	3:0
20.12.20	Pulpileño - Águilas	1:0
16.02.20	Águilas - Pulpileño	0:3

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