The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Universitario 29.4%
Draw 32.8%
Sporting San Miguelito 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
30.4%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
30.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Universitario's form might have worsened.
Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Universitario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Deportivo Universitario - Sporting San Miguelito Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. De la Cruz A. (G) 5. Tobon J. 3. Gamboa C. 6. Matos J. 27. Anderson I. 17. Diaz J. 25. De Los Rios A. 20. Maltez U. 50. Pinzon O. 19. Simons J. 8. Clarke J.
12. De Leon M. (G) 22. Ramirez S. 29. Alba O. 14. Hall J. 2. Caicedo J. 27. Tello Valor R. 23. Hurtado H. 19. Avila M. 33. Betancourt J. 55. Benitez R. 20. Bethancourt A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Maltez U. 🟨,
42', Matos J. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Bethancourt A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Hurtado H. 🟨,
62', Clarke J. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
66', Pinzon O. 🟨,
68', Alba O. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Anderson I. ⚽,
71', Bethancourt A. ↓, Castillo O. ↑,
83', Simons J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
83', Maltez U. ↓, Rangel R. ↑,
90', Pinzon O. ↓, Gondola J. ↑,
90+4', Anderson I. ↓, Edmund D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
CD Universitario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
San Miguelito will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, CD Universitario won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting San Miguelito - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.47%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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De la Cruz A. (G) 
Tobon J. 
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