Match Info

LPF - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya (San Miguelito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	UMECIT		Sporting San Miguelito

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.80	2.95
	2.05	3.00	3.35
	2.45	2.80	3.21
	2.45	2.86	3.21	Watch
	2.90	2.70	2.60
	2.37	2.94	3.26
	2.34	2.75	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.05)	2.84 ↓ (2.95)	3.08 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UMECIT
38%

Draw
32.3%

Sporting San Miguelito
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UMECIT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UMECIT's form might have worsened.

Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hinojosa C. (G) 21. Almanza O. . Baron V. 8. Batista R. 62. Casazola M. 3. Delgado J. 6. Fuentes J. 10. Gomez E. 15. Livingston J. 48. Moran C. 19. Saldana A.	12. De Leon M. (G) 31. Alba O. 19. Avila M. 2. Caicedo J. 41. Cedeno J. 14. Hall J. 23. Hurtado H. 22. Ramirez S. 28. Scarpetta J. 27. Tello Valor R. (C) 11. Zuniga L.
Substitutes
1. Almengor D. (G) 70. Anderson Gomez N. M. 26. Araya J. 23. Chanis E. 17. Edwards A. 14. Ford R. 9. Murillo J. 92. Oliveira D. 22. Palmezano A. 11. Rodriguez E.	18. Betancourt J. 30. Castillo O. 1. Espinosa S. (G) 24. Hormechea C. 21. Hoyos D. 40. Ruiz J. I. 9. Zorrilla E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Ramirez S. 🟨,
33', Fuentes J. 🟨,
39', Casazola M. 🟨,
39', Caicedo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Tello Valor R. ⚽,
54', Casazola M. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
54', Livingston J. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
61', Baron V. ↓, Anderson Gomez N. M. ↑,
61', Caicedo J. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
67', Zuniga L. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
67', Tello Valor R. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
70', Saldana A. ↓, Ford R. ↑,
70', Almanza O. ↓, Oliveira D. ↑,
73', Cedeno J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
73', Zorrilla E. ↓, Castillo O. ↑,
84', Hall J. 🟨,
87', Delgado J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 1.

UMECIT is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Miguelito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UMECIT is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, UMECIT won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

UMECIT - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 43.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMECIT FC
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	UMECIT - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
01.08.26	Tauro - UMECIT	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
29.07.26	UMECIT - Deportivo Saprissa	1:2 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
25.07.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLT
- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
01.08.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Tauro - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Tauro	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Sporting San Miguelito - Plaza Amador	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Panamena de Futbol
13.04.26	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	2:2
07.02.26	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	2:2
13.10.25	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	3:3
21.07.25	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	0:1
30.03.25	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0
24.08.24	Sporting San Miguelito - UMECIT	1:1
24.02.24	UMECIT - Sporting San Miguelito	1:0

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