Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Deportivo Upala		Carmelita

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.55	2
	3.08	3.7	2
	3.23	3.78	2.04	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2
	3.16	3.58	1.99
	3.15	3.55	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	2.01 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Upala
28.9%

Draw
25.5%

Carmelita
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

25%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

23.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Upala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Upala than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Deportivo Upala - Carmelita Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Upala will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Jimenez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 1 - 2, Camacho L. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 7).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Deportivo Upala could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carmelita will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Upala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Upala won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Upala
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.02.25	San Carlos - Deportivo Upala	3:3 ✺
19.02.25	Deportivo Upala - Cofutpa	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Upala	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Deportivo Upala - Sarchi	1:10 ✺
05.02.25	Jicaral - Deportivo Upala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLLL
- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.02.25	Carmelita - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Cofutpa - Carmelita	3:2 ✺
10.02.25	Carmelita - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Sarchi - Carmelita	2:1 ✺
31.01.25	Carmelita - Jicaral	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.11.24	Deportivo Upala - Carmelita	3:3
13.09.24	Carmelita - Deportivo Upala	1:0

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