Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Carmelita		Inter San Carlos

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	2.02	Watch
	3.64	3.81	1.85	Watch
	3.29	3.25	2.04	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.64)	3.45 ↓ (3.81)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
26.2%

Draw
26.4%

Inter San Carlos
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.4%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

23.6%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Inter San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter San Carlos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Carmelita - Inter San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Carmelita has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inter San Carlos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carmelita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter San Carlos is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmelita won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Inter San Carlos - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.16%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.11.25	Carmelita - Santa Ana	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:1 ✺
30.10.25	Desamparados - Carmelita	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Carmelita - Uruguay de Coronado	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Pitbulls - Carmelita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWTL
- Inter San Carlos
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
08.11.25	Inter San Carlos - Cofutpa	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Municipal Grecia - Inter San Carlos	2:3 ✺
28.10.25	Inter San Carlos - Jicaral	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Inter San Carlos	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Upala - Inter San Carlos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Copa
26.08.25	Carmelita - Inter San Carlos	2:0
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
22.03.25	Inter San Carlos - Carmelita	1:0
10.02.25	Carmelita - Inter San Carlos	1:1
05.10.24	Carmelita - Inter San Carlos	1:4
25.08.24	Inter San Carlos - Carmelita	1:3

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