Match Info

Primera C - Round 7

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday


	Deportivo Yupanqui		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.53	3.19	2.48
	2.59	3.2	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3	2.63
	2.57	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)	3.08 ↑ (2.73)	2.55 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Yupanqui
35.2%

Draw
29.3%

El Porvenir
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

32.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

32.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Yupanqui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Porvenir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Yupanqui than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Porvenir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Yupanqui - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Nami D. ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, Nami D. ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, Rousseau J. ⚽,
79', Rousseau J. 🟥,
90+4', Villagra L. 🟥,
90+5', 2 - 2, Melono A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yupanqui won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Yupanqui won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

El Porvenir - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Yupanqui
Argentinian Primera C
04.04.26	Cañuelas - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Fénix	0:0 ✺
23.03.26	Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Yupanqui	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Sportivo Barracas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTWL
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
30.03.26	El Porvenir - Sportivo Barracas	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	El Porvenir - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Leones de Rosario - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	El Porvenir - General Lamadrid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
27.07.24	El Porvenir - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:1
24.02.24	Deportivo Yupanqui - El Porvenir	1:2
Argentinian Primera D
09.05.16	El Porvenir - Deportivo Yupanqui	1:0

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