Match Info

Primera C - Round 4

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	El Porvenir		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.72	3.5	Watch
	2.16	2.68	3.54
	2.21	2.75	3.61	Watch
	2.16	2.77	3.61
	2.08	2.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 (2.16)	2.68 ↓ (2.77)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
41.4%

Draw
33.3%

Mercedes
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

32.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

El Porvenir - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Bernal T. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Villagra L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 2.

Mercedes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

El Porvenir will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
14.03.26	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Leones de Rosario - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	El Porvenir - General Lamadrid	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	El Porvenir - Club Luján	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTLT
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
14.03.26	Victoriano Arenas - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mercedes - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Mercedes	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Deportivo Español - Mercedes	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Mercedes - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
27.06.25	Mercedes - El Porvenir	0:0
18.03.25	El Porvenir - Mercedes	2:1
11.09.24	Mercedes - El Porvenir	1:0
10.04.24	El Porvenir - Mercedes	4:0
Argentinian Primera D
06.11.23	El Porvenir - Mercedes	0:0
23.07.23	Mercedes - El Porvenir	1:0
29.04.23	El Porvenir - Mercedes	2:1

Upcoming Matches