Match Info

Primera C - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Yupanqui		Estrella del Sur

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.82	2.22
	3.16	2.91	2.21
	3.25	2.95	2.24	Watch
	3.25	2.75	2.25
	3.26	2.91	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.69)	2.87 ↑ (2.77)	2.23 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Yupanqui
27.9%

Draw
31.5%

Estrella del Sur
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

32.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Yupanqui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Yupanqui's form might have worsened.

Estrella del Sur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrella del Sur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Yupanqui than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Yupanqui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella del Sur than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrella del Sur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Yupanqui - Estrella del Sur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Maidana D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Salomone S. 🟥,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yupanqui won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Yupanqui won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Yupanqui
Argentinian Primera C
09.05.26	Leones de Rosario - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Central Ballester	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Yupanqui	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - El Porvenir	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLTT
- Estrella del Sur de Alejandro Korn
Argentinian Primera C
09.05.26	Estrella del Sur - Berazategui	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Victoriano Arenas - Estrella del Sur	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Cañuelas	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
28.06.25	Estrella del Sur - Deportivo Yupanqui	1:0
15.03.25	Deportivo Yupanqui - Estrella del Sur	0:0

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