Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 9

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Derby Académie		Real Bamako

	1	X	2
	6.1	3.35	1.52	Watch
	6	3.31	1.62	Watch
	6	3.25	1.5
	5.91	3.38	1.57	Watch
	6	3.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6 ↑ (6)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby Académie
15%

Draw
27.2%

Real Bamako
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

27.2%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

26%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby Académie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Derby Académie - Real Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2).

Derby Académie has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Bamako is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Derby Académie has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Bamako is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
10.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Derby Académie	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Derby Académie - Diarra	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Stade Malien - Derby Académie	3:0 ✺
17.12.25	Djoliba - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Bougouba - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WTLTT
- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
10.01.26	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Real Bamako - Binga	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bakaridjan - Real Bamako	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Real Bamako - USFAS Bamako	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Mali Coura - Real Bamako	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTWW

Derby Académie - Real Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide