Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 8

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Diarra		Real Bamako

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.92	2.1	Watch
	3.43	2.99	2.17	Watch
	3.44	2.89	2.15	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)	2.14 (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diarra
26.6%

Draw
31%

Real Bamako
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

31%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

30.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Diarra - Real Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Diarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Bamako will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
02.01.26	Derby Académie - Diarra	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Binga - Diarra	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Diarra - Bakaridjan	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Diarra	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Diarra - Mali Coura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWLW
- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
03.01.26	Real Bamako - Binga	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bakaridjan - Real Bamako	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Real Bamako - USFAS Bamako	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Mali Coura - Real Bamako	0:3 ✺
10.12.25	Real Bamako - Stade Malien	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
19.04.25	Diarra - Real Bamako	0:1
31.12.24	Real Bamako - Diarra	3:3

Diarra - Real Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide