The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 22.1%
Draw 24.6%
Arsenal U21 53.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.9%
21.7%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.2%
21.1%
54.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Arsenal U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Derby County U21 - Arsenal U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Thompson J. (G) 2. Perry J. 5. Canoville R. 6. Osayande A. (C) 3. Turley F. 8. Allen C. 4. Wahling J. 9. Oguntolu J. 10. Eames O. 11. Osong J. 7. Wheeldon L.
13. Ranson K. (G) 83. Hamill C. 89. Salmon M. 54. Lannin-Sweet W. 48. Nichols J. 58. Agustien D. 39. Dudziak H. 38. Copley L. (C) 40. Ferdinand S. 53. Sagoe Jr C. 14. Stevens A.
Substitutes
16. Crolla L. 13. Price H. (G) 15. Richards J. 14. Tola M. 12. Wilson C.
37. Clarke B. 71. Harriman-Annous A. 72. Ibrahim I. 45. Kamara O. 47. Mitchell R. (G)
Coaches
Maye D.
Porter M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Perry J. 🟨,
27', Perry J. ↓, Crolla L. ↑,
29', Dudziak H. 🟨,
41', Agustien D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Wheeldon L. 🟨,
58', Dudziak H. ↓, Ibrahim I. ↑,
58', Ferdinand S. ↓, Harriman-Annous A. ↑,
58', Osong J. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
68', Agustien D. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
71', Turley F. 🟨,
72', 0 - 1, Kamara O. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
77', Oguntolu J. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
85', Wahling J. 🟨,
85', Stevens A. ↓, Clarke B. ↑,
88', Nichols J. 🟨,
Preview
Derby U21 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arsenal U21 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Arsenal U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arsenal U21 is a strong favorite.
We predict that Arsenal U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
United-kingdom
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Thompson J. (G) 
Turley F. 
Allen C. 
Wahling J. 
Hamill C. 
Agustien D. 
Tola M. 
Kamara O. 
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