The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 31.1%
Draw 22.9%
Tottenham Hotspur U21 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
20.9%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
20.1%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Tottenham Hotspur U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Tottenham Hotspur U21 aligns with the current prediction.
Derby County U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Halliwell A. (G) 2. Gill T. 4. Canoville R. 5. Offor R. (C) 3. Robinson K. 6. Tola M. 8. Hodges D. 7. Smith C. 10. Wilson C. 11. Jones F. 9. Trialist
1. Archer S. (G) 2. Feeney G. 5. Dorrington A. 4. Hardy M. (C) 3. Sowunmi E. 8. Hall T. 6. Byrne H. 10. Olusesi C. 7. Adewole M. 9. Hall T. 11. Elliott-Parris R.
Substitutes
12. Gordon I. 18. Green I. 13. Kane S. (G) 16. McAndrew N. 15. Osayande A. 14. Osong J. 17. Wren K.
14. Adedeji M. 13. Doran F. (G) 16. Lehane E. 12. Moncur R. 15. Ramsey C. 17. Thomas C.
Coaches
Maye D.
Burnett W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Elliott-Parris R. ⚽, Hall T. (A),
6', 1 - 1, Trialist ⚽, Smith C. (A),
28', 1 - 2, Hall T. ⚽,
28', Hall T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Canoville R. ↓, Osayande A. ↑,
46', Olusesi C. ↓, Lehane E. ↑,
47', 1 - 3, Lehane E. ⚽, Hall T. (A),
53', Smith C. 🟨,
59', Jones F. ↓, Osong J. ↑,
59', Hodges D. ↓, McAndrew N. ↑,
59', Gill T. ↓, Gordon I. ↑,
59', Trialist ↓, Green I. ↑,
73', Elliott-Parris R. ↓, Ramsey C. ↑,
76', Tola M. 🟨,
77', Hall T. ↓, Moncur R. ↑,
78', Moncur R. 🟨,
81', Gordon I. 🟨,
85', Hardy M. ↓, Adedeji M. ↑,
Preview
Derby U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tottenham U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Tottenham U21 has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).