Match Info

Date: 11 October 2021, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Derby County U23		Charlton Athletic U23

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	2.87
	2	3.75	2.87
	2	3.6	2.85
	2	3.75	2.9
	2.09	3.92	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)	3.74 ↓ (3.94)	2.86 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County U23
44.6%

Draw
24%

Charlton Athletic U23
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

23.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

16.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Charlton Athletic U23 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic U23 than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlton Athletic U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derby County U23 - Charlton Athletic U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Derby U23 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Charlton U23 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Charlton U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Derby U23 have a series of guest games.

Recently Charlton U23 have a series of home games.

Derby U23 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U23
English Premier League 2
02.10.21	Manchester City U23 - Derby County U23	1:0 ✺
27.09.21	Tottenham Hotspur U23 - Derby County U23	3:1 ✺
20.09.21	Derby County U23 - West Ham United U23	3:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
13.09.21	Norwich City U23 - Derby County U23	3:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
10.09.21	Everton U23 - Derby County U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTL
- Charlton Athletic U23
English Professional Development League
04.10.21	Charlton Athletic U23 - Colchester United U23	2:2 ✺
17.09.21	Charlton Athletic U23 - Sheffield Wednesday U23	2:0 ✺
13.09.21	Wigan Athletic U23 - Charlton Athletic U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
08.09.21	Charlton Athletic U23 - Reading U23	3:0 ✺
English Professional Development League
31.08.21	Charlton Athletic U23 - Sheffield United U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLWL

Derby County U23 - Charlton Athletic U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Derby County U23 - Charlton Athletic U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

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