Match Info

Premier League - Championship Group - Round 22

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Deren		Khangarid

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.75	2.40
	2.29	3.91	2.39
	1.69	4.42	3.72	Watch
	2.22	4.02	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.76)	4.03 ↓ (4.05)	2.79 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deren
43.8%

Draw
23%

Khangarid
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

22.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.2%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deren's form might have worsened.

Khangarid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khangarid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deren than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khangarid than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khangarid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deren - Khangarid Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deren will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Khangarid will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Myagmar B. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Erdeneholog M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deren won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Deren might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Deren won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.6:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deren won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Deren	6	4	2	0	20:7	13	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deren FC
Mongolian Premier League
24.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Khangarid - Deren	2:3 ✺
18.06.26	Khovd - Deren	0:6 ✺
14.06.26	Deren - Central Stallions	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Ulaanbaatar - Deren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL
- Khangarid FC
Mongolian Premier League
24.06.26	Ulaanbaatar - Khangarid	3:1 ✺
21.06.26	Khangarid - Deren	2:3 ✺
18.06.26	Khovd Western - Khangarid	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Khovd - Khangarid	0:6 ✺
21.05.26	Khangarid - Central Stallions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
21.06.26	Khangarid - Deren	2:3
09.05.26	Khangarid - Deren	2:1
11.10.25	Deren - Khangarid	1:1
10.07.25	Deren - Khangarid	1:3
20.04.25	Khangarid - Deren	0:0
05.10.24	Deren - Khangarid	1:2
31.03.24	Khangarid - Deren	0:0

Deren - Khangarid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide