Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Derince Belediyespor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.75	2.28
	2.95	2.85	2.28
	2.92	2.82	2.27
	3.02	3.02	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (2.97)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)	2.3 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
30.2%

Draw
31.1%

Erokspor
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

30.8%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

22.7%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derince Belediyespor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erokspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derince Belediyespor - Erokspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Derince Belediyespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erokspor is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Derince Belediyespor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Derince Belediyespor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
23.01.22	Kırıkkale Büyük - Derince Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	Derince Belediyespor - Edirnespor Gençlik	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Fethiyespor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	Derince Belediyespor - Karşıyaka	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Agrispor - Derince Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTT
- Erokspor
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
23.01.22	Erokspor - Fethiyespor	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Karşıyaka - Erokspor	1:2 ✺
19.12.21	Agrispor - Erokspor	1:4 ✺
11.12.21	Erokspor - Modafenspor	3:1 ✺
04.12.21	Çankaya - Erokspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
18.09.21	Erokspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:1
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
02.02.20	Derince Belediyespor - Erokspor	3:2

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