Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 13

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Fethiyespor		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.6
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.54	4.48
	1.66	3.54	4.48
	1.62	3.64	4.8
	1.62	3.55	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	4.64 ↓ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fethiyespor
54.9%

Draw
25.5%

Derince Belediyespor
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.9%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

25%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fethiyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fethiyespor than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fethiyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Fethiyespor is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Derince Belediyespor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fethiyespor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fethiyespor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fethiyespor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fethiyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.11.23	Uşakspor - Fethiyespor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Fethiyespor - Tokat Belediye Plevne Spor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	Fethiyespor - Iskenderunspor	4:3 ✺
22.10.23	Aksaray Belediyespor - Fethiyespor	1:2 ✺
18.10.23	Fethiyespor - Düzcespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWT
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.11.23	Derince Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	Etimesgut - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Derince Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Isparta 32 Spor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
07.05.22	Derince Belediyespor - Fethiyespor	1:1
19.12.21	Fethiyespor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0
Turkish 3 Lig Group 2
20.10.19	Derince Belediyespor - Fethiyespor	0:1
Turkish Cup
24.09.14	Fethiyespor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0

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