Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 12

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Derince Belediyespor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.5	1.61
	4.8	3.6	1.69
	4.93	3.47	1.69
	5.07	3.53	1.65
	5.02	3.54	1.62
	4.8	3.6	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (3.61)	3.54 ↑ (3.1)	1.66 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
18.8%

Draw
25.9%

Karacabey Belediyespor
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

29.7%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derince Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Karacabey Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karacabey Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derince Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karacabey Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Derince Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
90+4', 0 - 1, Demir I. ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, Yucel O. F. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.11.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Derince Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	1:7 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Tire 2021	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.10.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Derince Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.11.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Yeni Amasyaspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.10.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:4 ✺
20.10.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW

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