Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Derince Belediyespor		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.25
	4	3.3	1.89
	3.3	3.31	2.09
	3.14	3.19	2.19
	3.31	3.04	2.14
	4	3.3	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (4.05)	3.17 ↓ (3.64)	2.08 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
26.7%

Draw
29%

Serik Belediyespor
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

25.2%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.1%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serik Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serik Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derince Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Ekinci C. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Ekinci C. ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Karadeniz G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
51', 0 - 4, Ekinci C. ⚽,
54', 0 - 5, Soy E. ⚽,
59', 0 - 6, Unsal B. ⚽,
83', 1 - 6, Huseyin A. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 7, Ceylan B. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Tire 2021	0:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.10.24	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Derince Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Ankara Demirspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.10.24	Artvin Hopaspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWTW
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Cup
30.10.24	Osmaniyespor - Serik Belediyespor	6:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.10.24	Serik Belediyespor - Karaman Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Serik Belediyespor	1:3 ✺
13.10.24	Serik Belediyespor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
10.10.24	Tepecik Belediye - Serik Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWTW

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