Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 34

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Derince Belediyespor		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.8
	4.5	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.51	3.27	1.81
	4.51	3.27	1.81
	4.37	3.24	1.79
	4.2	3.15	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↓ (4.41)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derince Belediyespor
21%

Draw
28.3%

Kastamonuspor
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

29.2%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

29.4%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Derince Belediyespor aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Final)).

Recent matches Derince Belediyespor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kastamonuspor is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kastamonuspor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Derince Belediyespor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.04.24	İnegölspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Derince Belediyespor - Fethiyespor	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	24 Erzincanspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Derince Belediyespor - Etimesgut	3:1 ✺
06.03.24	Arnavutköy - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLWL
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
03.04.24	Kastamonuspor - Uşakspor	5:1 ✺
24.03.24	Iskenderunspor - Kastamonuspor	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Kastamonuspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Düzcespor - Kastamonuspor	0:1 ✺
06.03.24	Kastamonuspor - Sarıyer	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.23	Kastamonuspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:1

Derince Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide