Match Info

Premiership Women - Relegation Group

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)


	Derry City		Lisburn Ladies

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.25	6.25
	1.24	5.40	7.50
	1.41	5.93	4.27
	1.34	6.37	5.22
	1.39	5.85	4.20
	1.32	5.56	7.08
	1.30	5.40	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.13)	5.68 ↓ (5.9)	5.82 ↓ (22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derry City
68.3%

Draw
16%

Lisburn Ladies
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

15.4%

4.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derry City's form might have worsened.

Lisburn Ladies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lisburn Ladies's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 3 - 2, ⚽,
78', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry City won 4.

Derry City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Derry City holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Derry City has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.4:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Derry City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1.8:2.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City Ladies
Northern Irish Premiership Women
04.09.26	Derry City - Cliftonville	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Derry City - Linfield	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Derry City - Glentoran Belfast United	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Derry City - Larne	7:0 ✺
03.07.26	Derry City - Crusaders Newtownabbey Strikers	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWT
- Lisburn Ladies FC
Northern Irish Premiership Women
14.08.26	Crusaders Newtownabbey Strikers - Lisburn Ladies	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Lisburn Ladies - Cliftonville	0:7 ✺
03.07.26	Larne - Lisburn Ladies	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Lisburn Ladies - Lisburn Rangers	0:3 ✺
19.06.26	Linfield - Lisburn Ladies	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership Women
22.05.26	Lisburn Ladies - Derry City	0:1
26.09.25	Derry City - Lisburn Ladies	1:3
25.07.25	Lisburn Ladies - Derry City	0:2
06.06.25	Derry City - Lisburn Ladies	1:0
13.10.24	Derry City - Lisburn Ladies	3:1
26.07.24	Lisburn Ladies - Derry City	1:1
28.06.23	Derry City - Lisburn Ladies	2:5

Derry City - Lisburn Ladies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide