Match Info

Premiership Women - Relegation Group

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry)


	Derry City		Larne

	1	X	2
	1.07	7.9	14.5
	1.08	8.76	12.6
	1.11	8.6	13
	1.05	8.55	12
	1.03	9.9	19.5
	1.09	7.8	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.17)	8.59 ↑ (6.25)	14.27 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derry City
83.3%

Draw
10.4%

Larne
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.7%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (5 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, ⚽,
73', 4 - 1, ⚽,
77', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry City won 3.

The betting markets point to Derry City as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Derry City has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:5 (averaging 2.4:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Derry City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:3 goals (averaging 2.5:0.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derry City Ladies
Northern Irish Premiership Women
18.09.26	Derry City - Lisburn Ladies	3:3 ✺
04.09.26	Derry City - Cliftonville	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Derry City - Linfield	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Derry City - Glentoran Belfast United	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Derry City - Larne	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLW
- Larne FC Women
Northern Irish Premiership Women
18.09.26	Crusaders Newtownabbey Strikers - Larne	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Crusaders Newtownabbey Strikers - Larne	3:0 ✺
24.07.26	Derry City - Larne	7:0 ✺
03.07.26	Larne - Lisburn Ladies	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Lisburn Ladies - Larne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership Women
24.07.26	Derry City - Larne	7:0
01.10.25	Derry City - Larne	1:0
23.05.25	Larne - Derry City	0:4
20.09.24	Larne - Derry City	1:1
21.06.24	Derry City - Larne	0:0
29.09.23	Larne - Derry City	1:2
31.05.23	Derry City - Larne	2:3

Derry City - Larne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide