Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group A - Round 32

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Derthona		Borgaro

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	4.3
				Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.5
	1.57	3.74	5.16
	1.6	4.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.35)	3.94 ↓ (4.4)	4.57 ↓ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
57.1%

Draw
23%

Borgaro
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20.6%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

19.6%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derthona's form might have worsened.

Borgaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borgaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgaro than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borgaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Derthona - Borgaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Zunino M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

Derthona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borgaro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Derthona is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Derthona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
09.03.25	Ligorna - Derthona	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Derthona - Varese	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Vogherese - Derthona	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Derthona - Imperia	4:2 ✺
09.02.25	Cairese - Derthona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTWW
- Borgaro 1965
Italian Serie D - Group A
09.03.25	Borgaro - Asti	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Borgaro - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Fossano - Borgaro	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Varese - Borgaro	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Borgaro - Unione Sanremo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
10.11.24	Borgaro - Derthona	1:1

Derthona - Borgaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide