Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 22

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Derthona		Stresa Vergante

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.05	3.25	3.15
	2.02	3.06	3.04
	2.19	3	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.13 ↑ (3.06)	3.16 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona
43.1%

Draw
28.6%

Stresa Vergante
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.3%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Stresa Vergante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stresa Vergante than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Derthona - Stresa Vergante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out)).

Derthona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Stresa Vergante is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derthona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Derthona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Derthona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona FBC
Italian Serie D - Group A
15.01.23	Casale - Derthona	3:4 ✺
11.01.23	Chieri - Derthona	2:3 ✺
08.01.23	Derthona - Vado	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Derthona - Fossano	5:4 ✺
11.12.22	Derthona - PDHAE	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL
- Stresa Vergante
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.23	Unione Sanremo - Stresa Vergante	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Stresa Vergante - Pinerolo	1:2 ✺
11.01.23	Stresa Vergante - Castanese	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Asti - Stresa Vergante	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Legnano - Stresa Vergante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
17.09.22	Stresa Vergante - Derthona	2:2

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