Match Info

Date: 22 October 2021, Friday


	Desna Chernihiv		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.39	3.05	2.75
	2.57	3.27	2.86
	2.5	3.25	2.7
	2.44	3.34	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.26)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desna Chernihiv
38.3%

Draw
28.7%

Oleksandriya
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

18.6%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Desna Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleksandriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

Desna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oleksandriya is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Desna won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Desna won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.21	Mynai - Desna Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Zorya Luhansk - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	Desna Chernihiv - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.09.21	Metalist Kharkiv - Desna Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.09.21	Desna Chernihiv - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLW
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.21	Oleksandriya - Vorskla Poltava	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	Veres Rivne - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Oleksandriya - Mariupol	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.09.21	Tavriya Simferopol - Oleksandriya	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.09.21	Dynamo Kyiv - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
10.04.21	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	4:1
31.10.20	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	2:2
16.07.20	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	1:3
14.06.20	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	1:5
01.12.19	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	2:0
24.08.19	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	0:3
04.11.18	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	1:1

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