The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Karpaty Lviv 58.4%
Draw 24%
Oleksandriya 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.6%
20.7%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.6%
19.5%
12%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Lviv's form might have worsened.
Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
1. Domchak N. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 3. Adamyuk V. 44. Kholod V. 73. Lyakh R. 20. Sapuga M. 7. Paulo V. 8. Chachua A. (C) 37. Bruninho 26. Kostenko Y. 99. Faal B.
72. Makarenko N. (G) 91. Butko B. 26. Ferreira M. 86. Bol A. 23. Oharkov M. 20. Vashchenko D. 27. Cara T. 49. Amaral M. 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 37. Yade P. 99. Castillo B.
Substitutes
70. Alkain X. 18. Eriki 47. Jean Pedroso 19. Karabin Y. 30. Klishchuk A. (G) 14. Kvasnytsya I. 80. Mysak R. (G) 15. Rubchynskyi V. 33. Shakh A. 10. Stenio 55. Stetskov T. 77. Sych O.
17. Andreichyk A. 50. Behiratche J. 10. Buletsa S. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 44. Jhonnatan 79. Khmelovskyy D. 97. Prokopenko N. 67. Rodrigues M. 11. Shulyanskyi A. 22. Skorko D. 61. Stovba M. (G) 24. Touati H.
Coaches
Fernandez F.
Sharan V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Sapuga M. 🟨,
45+1', Oharkov M. 🟨,
45+1', Miroshnichenko D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Cara T. ↓, Andreichyk A. ↑,
56', Bruninho 🟨,
63', Sapuga M. ↓, Eriki ↑,
63', Paulo V. ↓, Alkain X. ↑,
69', Amaral M. ↓, Buletsa S. ↑,
73', Miroshnichenko D. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Kostenko Y. ⚽, Alkain X. (A),
77', Bruninho ↓, Sych O. ↑,
80', Vashchenko D. ↓, Touati H. ↑,
80', Butko B. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
80', Myshnyov D. ↓, Shulyanskyi A. ↑,
86', Kostenko Y. ↓, Karabin Y. ↑,
87', Chachua A. ↓, Jean Pedroso ↑,
87', Oharkov M. 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 0, Jean Pedroso ⚽, Faal B. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 2.
Karpaty is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Oleksandriya has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Oleksandriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Karpaty is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
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Domchak N. (G) 
Paulo V. 
Faal B. 
Ferreira M. 
Cara T. 
Yade P. 
Castillo B. 
Alkain X. 
Behiratche J. 
Rodrigues M. 
Touati H. 
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