Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 7

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Desportivo Brasil		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.75	2.4
	2.85	2.75	2.6
	2.66	2.6	2.91
	2.66	2.81	2.8	Watch
	2.6	2.73	2.79
	2.85	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)	2.73 ↓ (2.93)	2.68 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Brasil
33%

Draw
33.2%

Comercial SP
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportivo Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Desportivo Brasil - Comercial SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 14).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.02.25	União São João - Desportivo Brasil	3:3 ✺
02.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Desportivo Brasil	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Desportivo Brasil - Marília	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Desportivo Brasil	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTL
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.02.25	Comercial SP - Catanduva	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Comercial SP - União São João	1:3 ✺
29.01.25	Rio Preto - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Marília - Comercial SP	2:0 ✺
21.01.25	Comercial SP - União Suzano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Desportivo Brasil - Comercial SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide