Match Info

Mocambola - Round 13

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Desportivo Matola		Ferroviário de Maputo

	1	X	2
	6.18	3.04	1.68	Watch
	4.12	2.9	1.93
	4	3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.77 ↑ (4)	2.98 ↓ (3)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Matola
19.2%

Draw
30.8%

Ferroviário de Maputo
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

30%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Matola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Ferroviário de Maputo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Desportivo Matola - Ferroviário de Maputo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(74 - 57)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In recent matches, Ferro de Maputo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferro de Maputo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferro de Maputo is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Matola
Mozambique Moçambola
29.08.25	Ferroviário da Beira - Desportivo Matola	3:1 ✺
26.08.25	Desportivo Matola - Ferroviário de Nampula	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Desportivo Matola - Ferroviário de Nacala	0:0 ✺
07.07.25	Desportivo Matola - Costa do Sol	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	ENH Vilankulo - Desportivo Matola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Ferroviário de Maputo
Mozambique Moçambola
25.08.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Ferroviário de Nacala	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Baía de Pemba	0:0 ✺
29.07.25	Ferroviário da Beira - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0 ✺
07.07.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Textáfrica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTTW

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