Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 9

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Desportivo Monção		Juventude de Pedras Salgadas

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	4.25	3.1	1.75
	3.6	3.35	1.87
	4.15	3.24	1.89
	3.84	3.4	1.83
	3.7	3.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.19)	3.3 ↑ (3)	1.85 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Monção
23.5%

Draw
27.5%

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

30.1%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

30.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Monção has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Juventude de Pedras Salgadas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventude de Pedras Salgadas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventude de Pedras Salgadas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Desportivo Monção is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pedras Salgadas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pedras Salgadas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	São Martinho - Desportivo Monção	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Desportivo Monção - Amarante	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Vila Meã - Desportivo Monção	5:1 ✺
30.10.22	Desportivo Monção - Bragança	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Vianense - Desportivo Monção	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTL
- Juventude de Pedras Salgadas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.11.22	Amarante - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:1 ✺
13.11.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Bragança	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Dumiense - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	4:2 ✺
30.10.22	Juventude de Pedras Salgadas - Pevidem	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Maria da Fonte - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLTT

Desportivo Monção - Juventude de Pedras Salgadas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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